The Model Card
Wednesday, August 12, 2026
Card frozen 11:00 AM ET — lines are freeze-time prices and never edited after.
1-4on the cardEvery pick below was frozen before first pitch and graded in public.
MLB
TEX@
LAA
Pick TEX · model 62% · market -127
MISS
MLB
HOU@
SF
Pick SF · model 49% · market +132
MISS
MLB
TB@
ATH
Pick ATH · model 39% · market +195
MISS
MLB
BOS@
TOR
Pick BOS · model 58% · market -118
MISS
MLB
PIT@
MIA
Pick MIA · model 55% · market -106
HIT
The model parlay
MISSTEX + SF + ATH
+1123
combined odds
11.9%
model probability
+45.7%
EV per $1
EV assumes the model probabilities are right and legs are independent — it's the model's honest opinion of this ticket, not a promise.
Totals leanover7.5BOS @ TORmodel 8.7
The card freezes each morning before games start and never changes — grading lands here and on The Record. Research starting point, not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly.