The Model Card
Monday, August 10, 2026
Card frozen 11:00 AM ET — lines are freeze-time prices and never edited after.
MLB
KC@
LAD
Pick KC · model 38% · market +260
+9.85%
MLB
COL@
AZ
Pick COL · model 43% · market +180
+7.81%
MLB
NYM@
ATL
Pick NYM · model 49% · market +131
+6%
MLB
HOU@
SF
Pick SF · model 47% · market +137
+5.15%
MLB
MIL@
SD
Pick MIL · model 57% · market -112
+4.74%
The model parlay
KC + COL + NYM
+2228
combined odds
7.9%
model probability
+84.2%
EV per $1
EV assumes the model probabilities are right and legs are independent — it's the model's honest opinion of this ticket, not a promise.
Totals leanover8.5NYM @ ATLmodel 9.7
The card freezes each morning before games start and never changes — grading lands here and on The Record. Research starting point, not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly.