The Model Card
Sunday, August 9, 2026
Card frozen 11:00 AM ET — lines are freeze-time prices and never edited after.
1-4on the cardEvery pick below was frozen before first pitch and graded in public.
MLB
MIN@
MIL
Pick MIN · model 40% · market +234
MISS
MLB
TOR@
PHI
Pick TOR · model 43% · market +189
MISS
MLB
DET@
SF
Pick SF · model 52% · market +108
MISS
MLB
LAD@
AZ
Pick AZ · model 46% · market +132
HIT
MLB
CLE@
CWS
Pick CLE · model 55% · market -108
MISS
The model parlay
MISSMIN + TOR + SF
+1908
combined odds
9.0%
model probability
+80%
EV per $1
EV assumes the model probabilities are right and legs are independent — it's the model's honest opinion of this ticket, not a promise.
Totals leanover8BAL @ TEXmodel 9.4
The card freezes each morning before games start and never changes — grading lands here and on The Record. Research starting point, not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly.