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The Model Card

Saturday, August 8, 2026

Card frozen 11:00 AM ET — lines are freeze-time prices and never edited after.

3-2on the cardEvery pick below was frozen before first pitch and graded in public.
MLB

ATL logoATL@NYY logoNYY

Pick NYY · model 50% · market +126

HIT
MLB

CIN logoCIN@WSH logoWSH

Pick WSH · model 48% · market +130

HIT
MLB

CLE logoCLE@CWS logoCWS

Pick CLE · model 59% · market -124

MISS
MLB

LAD logoLAD@AZ logoAZ

Pick AZ · model 42% · market +159

MISS
MLB

TOR logoTOR@PHI logoPHI

Pick TOR · model 44% · market +149

HIT

The model parlay

MISS

NYY + WSH + CLE

+839

combined odds

14.1%

model probability

+32.6%

EV per $1

EV assumes the model probabilities are right and legs are independent — it's the model's honest opinion of this ticket, not a promise.

Totals leanover7.5CLE @ CWSmodel 9.2

The card freezes each morning before games start and never changes — grading lands here and on The Record. Research starting point, not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly.