The Model Card
Friday, August 7, 2026
Card frozen 11:00 AM ET — lines are freeze-time prices and never edited after.
2-3on the cardEvery pick below was frozen before first pitch and graded in public.
MLB
ATH@
BOS
Pick ATH · model 41% · market +235
MISS
MLB
CHC@
KC
Pick KC · model 48% · market +152
MISS
MLB
TOR@
PHI
Pick TOR · model 42% · market +191
HIT
MLB
DET@
SF
Pick SF · model 51% · market +122
HIT
MLB
CLE@
CWS
Pick CWS · model 48% · market +127
MISS
The model parlay
MISSATH + KC + TOR
+2357
combined odds
8.3%
model probability
+105.2%
EV per $1
EV assumes the model probabilities are right and legs are independent — it's the model's honest opinion of this ticket, not a promise.
Totals leanover8.5ATH @ BOSmodel 10.3
The card freezes each morning before games start and never changes — grading lands here and on The Record. Research starting point, not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly.