The Model Card
Wednesday, August 5, 2026
Card frozen 11:00 AM ET — lines are freeze-time prices and never edited after.
MLB
TOR@
HOU
Pick TOR · model 45% · market +148
+5.84%
MLB
SF@
TEX
Pick SF · model 43% · market +160
+4.58%
MLB
DET@
SEA
Pick DET · model 47% · market +131
+4.45%
MLB
NYM@
CLE
Pick CLE · model 53% · market +102
+4.16%
MLB
SD@
AZ
Pick SD · model 54% · market -109
+2.35%
The model parlay
TOR + SF + DET
+1389
combined odds
9.0%
model probability
+34.6%
EV per $1
EV assumes the model probabilities are right and legs are independent — it's the model's honest opinion of this ticket, not a promise.
Totals leanover7PIT @ MILmodel 8.7
The card freezes each morning before games start and never changes — grading lands here and on The Record. Research starting point, not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly.