The Model Card

Sunday, August 2, 2026

Card frozen 11:00 AM ET — lines are freeze-time prices and never edited after.

2-3on the cardEvery pick below was frozen before first pitch and graded in public.

MLB

BOS@LAD

Pick BOS · model 46% · market +160

HIT

MLB

AZ@CLE

Pick AZ · model 46% · market +156

MISS

MLB

DET@ATH

Pick ATH · model 53% · market +102

MISS

MLB

PIT@CIN

Pick PIT · model 45% · market +138

MISS

MLB

PHI@BAL

Pick PHI · model 59% · market -130

HIT

The model parlay

MISS

BOS + AZ + ATH

+1245

combined odds

11.1%

model probability

+49.6%

EV per $1

EV assumes the model probabilities are right and legs are independent — it's the model's honest opinion of this ticket, not a promise.

Totals leanover6.5NYY @ CHCmodel 8.6

The card freezes each morning before games start and never changes — grading lands here and on The Record. Research starting point, not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly.

Today's card