The Model Card
Saturday, August 1, 2026
Card frozen 11:00 AM ET — lines are freeze-time prices and never edited after.
3-2on the cardEvery pick below was frozen before first pitch and graded in public.
MLB
MIL@
LAA
Pick MIL · model 63% · market -112
HIT
MLB
AZ@
CLE
Pick AZ · model 47% · market +156
HIT
MLB
DET@
ATH
Pick ATH · model 50% · market +128
MISS
MLB
BOS@
LAD
Pick BOS · model 46% · market +150
HIT
MLB
CWS@
TB
Pick CWS · model 45% · market +148
MISS
The model parlay
MISSMIL + AZ + ATH
+1005
combined odds
14.7%
model probability
+62.2%
EV per $1
EV assumes the model probabilities are right and legs are independent — it's the model's honest opinion of this ticket, not a promise.
Totals leanover6.5NYY @ CHCmodel 8.6
The card freezes each morning before games start and never changes — grading lands here and on The Record. Research starting point, not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly.