The Model Card
Friday, July 31, 2026
Card frozen 11:00 AM ET — lines are freeze-time prices and never edited after.
MLB
KC@
COL
Pick KC · model 62% · market -105
+11.74%
MLB
MIN@
SEA
Pick MIN · model 42% · market +166
+5.56%
MLB
STL@
TOR
Pick STL · model 44% · market +158
+5.31%
MLB
TEX@
HOU
Pick TEX · model 50% · market +110
+3.5%
MLB
NYY@
CHC
Pick NYY · model 45% · market +136
+3.19%
The model parlay
KC + MIN + STL
+1240
combined odds
11.4%
model probability
+52.9%
EV per $1
EV assumes the model probabilities are right and legs are independent — it's the model's honest opinion of this ticket, not a promise.
Totals leanover7.5PIT @ CINmodel 9.4
The card freezes each morning before games start and never changes — grading lands here and on The Record. Research starting point, not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly.