The Model Card
Thursday, July 30, 2026
Card frozen 11:00 AM ET — lines are freeze-time prices and never edited after.
2-3on the cardEvery pick below was frozen before first pitch and graded in public.
MLB
SEA@
LAD
Pick SEA · model 48% · market +138
MISS
MLB
CHC@
STL
Pick CHC · model 53% · market +105
HIT
MLB
PIT@
CIN
Pick CIN · model 53% · market -101
HIT
MLB
KC@
MIN
Pick KC · model 47% · market +122
MISS
MLB
SF@
SD
Pick SD · model 56% · market -124
MISS
The model parlay
MISSSEA + CHC + CIN
+871
combined odds
13.6%
model probability
+32.4%
EV per $1
EV assumes the model probabilities are right and legs are independent — it's the model's honest opinion of this ticket, not a promise.
Totals leanover7MIA @ NYMmodel 8.3
The card freezes each morning before games start and never changes — grading lands here and on The Record. Research starting point, not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly.