The Model Card
Tuesday, July 28, 2026
Card frozen 11:00 AM ET — lines are freeze-time prices and never edited after.
4-1on the cardEvery pick below was frozen before first pitch and graded in public.
MLB
CLE@
CIN
Pick CIN · model 56% · market +120
HIT
MLB
SEA@
LAD
Pick SEA · model 46% · market +162
HIT
MLB
TEX@
TB
Pick TEX · model 47% · market +154
HIT
MLB
PHI@
MIA
Pick PHI · model 55% · market +100
MISS
MLB
AZ@
PIT
Pick AZ · model 54% · market +105
HIT
The model parlay
HITCIN + SEA + TEX
+1364
combined odds
12.0%
model probability
+76.1%
EV per $1
EV assumes the model probabilities are right and legs are independent — it's the model's honest opinion of this ticket, not a promise.
Totals leanunder9.5SEA @ LADmodel 8.4
The card freezes each morning before games start and never changes — grading lands here and on The Record. Research starting point, not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly.