The Model Card
Monday, July 27, 2026
Card frozen 11:00 AM ET — lines are freeze-time prices and never edited after.
MLB
SEA@
TEX
Pick TEX · model 52% · market +120
+7.13%
MLB
PHI@
MIA
Pick PHI · model 68% · market -164
+7.03%
MLB
CLE@
CIN
Pick CLE · model 44% · market +152
+5.67%
MLB
HOU@
LAA
Pick HOU · model 57% · market -112
+4.94%
MLB
BOS@
ATH
Pick ATH · model 43% · market +149
+3.95%
The model parlay
TEX + PHI + CLE
+792
combined odds
15.6%
model probability
+39.5%
EV per $1
EV assumes the model probabilities are right and legs are independent — it's the model's honest opinion of this ticket, not a promise.
Totals leanover8.5CLE @ CINmodel 9.9
The card freezes each morning before games start and never changes — grading lands here and on The Record. Research starting point, not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly.