The Model Card
Sunday, July 26, 2026
Card frozen 11:00 AM ET — lines are freeze-time prices and never edited after.
0-4on the cardEvery pick below was frozen before first pitch and graded in public.
MLB
NYY@
PHI
Pick NYY · model 44% · market +167
MISS
MLB
ATH@
MIN
Pick ATH · model 46% · market +139
MISS
MLB
SEA@
TEX
Pick TEX · model 54% · market -105
MISS
MLB
HOU@
CWS
Pick HOU · model 53% · market -104
MISS
The model parlay
MISSNYY + ATH + TEX
+1146
combined odds
11.0%
model probability
+36.7%
EV per $1
EV assumes the model probabilities are right and legs are independent — it's the model's honest opinion of this ticket, not a promise.
Totals leanover7SEA @ TEXmodel 8.5
The card freezes each morning before games start and never changes — grading lands here and on The Record. Research starting point, not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly.