The Model Card
Saturday, July 25, 2026
Card frozen 11:00 AM ET — lines are freeze-time prices and never edited after.
0-5on the cardEvery pick below was frozen before first pitch and graded in public.
MLB
LAD@
NYM
Pick NYM · model 48% · market +155
MISS
MLB
COL@
MIL
Pick COL · model 41% · market +201
MISS
MLB
NYY@
PHI
Pick PHI · model 53% · market +111
MISS
MLB
ATH@
MIN
Pick ATH · model 47% · market +140
MISS
MLB
TOR@
BOS
Pick BOS · model 55% · market -101
MISS
The model parlay
MISSNYM + COL + PHI
+1520
combined odds
10.4%
model probability
+67.9%
EV per $1
EV assumes the model probabilities are right and legs are independent — it's the model's honest opinion of this ticket, not a promise.
Totals leanover7.5SEA @ TEXmodel 8.9
The card freezes each morning before games start and never changes — grading lands here and on The Record. Research starting point, not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly.