The Model Card
Friday, July 24, 2026
Card frozen 11:00 AM ET — lines are freeze-time prices and never edited after.
2-3on the cardEvery pick below was frozen before first pitch and graded in public.
MLB
KC@
DET
Pick KC · model 43% · market +246
MISS
MLB
CIN@
STL
Pick CIN · model 49% · market +145
HIT
MLB
AZ@
WSH
Pick AZ · model 62% · market -119
HIT
MLB
COL@
MIL
Pick MIL · model 78% · market -240
MISS
MLB
LAD@
NYM
Pick NYM · model 51% · market +131
MISS
The model parlay
MISSKC + CIN + AZ
+1460
combined odds
13.1%
model probability
+105%
EV per $1
EV assumes the model probabilities are right and legs are independent — it's the model's honest opinion of this ticket, not a promise.
Totals leanover7.5SEA @ TEXmodel 9.2
The card freezes each morning before games start and never changes — grading lands here and on The Record. Research starting point, not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly.