The Model Card
Thursday, July 23, 2026
Card frozen 11:00 AM ET — lines are freeze-time prices and never edited after.
3-2on the cardEvery pick below was frozen before first pitch and graded in public.
MLB
KC@
DET
Pick KC · model 47% · market +176
MISS
MLB
SD@
ATL
Pick SD · model 41% · market +205
MISS
MLB
TB@
TOR
Pick TOR · model 53% · market -106
HIT
MLB
AZ@
STL
Pick AZ · model 49% · market +110
HIT
MLB
MIN@
CLE
Pick MIN · model 46% · market +122
HIT
The model parlay
MISSKC + SD + TOR
+1536
combined odds
10.2%
model probability
+67.2%
EV per $1
EV assumes the model probabilities are right and legs are independent — it's the model's honest opinion of this ticket, not a promise.
Totals leanover8SD @ ATLmodel 9.8
The card freezes each morning before games start and never changes — grading lands here and on The Record. Research starting point, not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly.