The Model Card
Wednesday, July 22, 2026
Card frozen 11:00 AM ET — lines are freeze-time prices and never edited after.
3-2on the cardEvery pick below was frozen before first pitch and graded in public.
MLB
CIN@
SEA
Pick CIN · model 48% · market +136
HIT
MLB
PIT@
NYY
Pick PIT · model 44% · market +150
HIT
MLB
LAD@
PHI
Pick PHI · model 53% · market +105
MISS
MLB
WSH@
COL
Pick COL · model 49% · market +121
MISS
MLB
SF@
KC
Pick KC · model 51% · market +107
HIT
The model parlay
MISSCIN + PIT + PHI
+1110
combined odds
11.0%
model probability
+33.3%
EV per $1
EV assumes the model probabilities are right and legs are independent — it's the model's honest opinion of this ticket, not a promise.
Totals leanover8DET @ CHCmodel 9.3
The card freezes each morning before games start and never changes — grading lands here and on The Record. Research starting point, not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly.