The Model Card
Tuesday, July 21, 2026
Card frozen 11:00 AM ET — lines are freeze-time prices and never edited after.
MLB
PIT@
NYY
Pick PIT · model 47% · market +128
+3.51%
MLB
NYM@
MIL
Pick NYM · model 47% · market +127
+2.98%
MLB
TB@
TOR
Pick TOR · model 53% · market +100
+2.65%
MLB
BAL@
BOS
Pick BAL · model 47% · market +124
+2.56%
MLB
MIA@
HOU
Pick MIA · model 49% · market +116
+2.5%
The model parlay
PIT + NYM + TOR
+935
combined odds
11.7%
model probability
+21.4%
EV per $1
EV assumes the model probabilities are right and legs are independent — it's the model's honest opinion of this ticket, not a promise.
Totals leanunder13WSH @ COLmodel 11.8
The card freezes each morning before games start and never changes — grading lands here and on The Record. Research starting point, not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly.