The Model Card
Monday, July 20, 2026
2-3on the cardEvery pick below was frozen before first pitch and graded in public.
MLB
MIA@
HOU
Pick MIA · model 53% · market +120
MISS
MLB
ATH@
AZ
Pick ATH · model 47% · market +140
HIT
MLB
STL@
LAA
Pick STL · model 53% · market +107
MISS
MLB
PIT@
NYY
Pick PIT · model 52% · market +110
MISS
MLB
MIN@
CLE
Pick CLE · model 52% · market +107
HIT
The model parlay
MISSMIA + ATH + STL
+993
combined odds
13.2%
model probability
+43.7%
EV per $1
EV assumes the model probabilities are right and legs are independent — it's the model's honest opinion of this ticket, not a promise.
Totals leanunder11.5DET @ CHCmodel 9.1
The card freezes each morning before games start and never changes — grading lands here and on The Record. Research starting point, not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly.