The Model Card
Sunday, July 19, 2026
0-5on the cardEvery pick below was frozen before first pitch and graded in public.
MLB
WSH@
ATH
Pick ATH · model 53% · market +126
MISS
MLB
SF@
SEA
Pick SF · model 44% · market +173
MISS
MLB
NYM@
PHI
Pick PHI · model 53% · market +115
MISS
MLB
LAD@
NYY
Pick NYY · model 52% · market +113
MISS
MLB
MIN@
CHC
Pick MIN · model 45% · market +149
MISS
The model parlay
MISSATH + SF + PHI
+1227
combined odds
12.3%
model probability
+63.8%
EV per $1
EV assumes the model probabilities are right and legs are independent — it's the model's honest opinion of this ticket, not a promise.
Totals leanover7.5MIN @ CHCmodel 9.5
The card freezes each morning before games start and never changes — grading lands here and on The Record. Research starting point, not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly.