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The Model Card

Saturday, July 18, 2026

3-2on the cardEvery pick below was frozen before first pitch and graded in public.
MLB

DET logoDET@LAA logoLAA

Pick LAA · model 46% · market +170

MISS
MLB

CIN logoCIN@COL logoCOL

Pick CIN · model 57% · market -106

MISS
MLB

TB logoTB@BOS logoBOS

Pick BOS · model 54% · market -102

HIT
MLB

CWS logoCWS@TOR logoTOR

Pick TOR · model 55% · market -108

HIT
MLB

SD logoSD@KC logoKC

Pick KC · model 53% · market +100

HIT

The model parlay

MISS

LAA + CIN + BOS

+939

combined odds

13.9%

model probability

+44.6%

EV per $1

EV assumes the model probabilities are right and legs are independent — it's the model's honest opinion of this ticket, not a promise.

Totals leanover7.5PIT @ CLEmodel 9.0

The card freezes each morning before games start and never changes — grading lands here and on The Record. Research starting point, not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly.