The Model Card
Friday, July 17, 2026
1-4on the cardEvery pick below was frozen before first pitch and graded in public.
MLB
CWS@
TOR
Pick TOR · model 62% · market -129
MISS
MLB
TEX@
ATL
Pick TEX · model 40% · market +184
MISS
MLB
SF@
SEA
Pick SF · model 46% · market +140
HIT
MLB
LAD@
NYY
Pick NYY · model 54% · market -104
MISS
MLB
DET@
LAA
Pick LAA · model 53% · market +103
MISS
The model parlay
MISSTOR + TEX + SF
+1110
combined odds
11.6%
model probability
+40.1%
EV per $1
EV assumes the model probabilities are right and legs are independent — it's the model's honest opinion of this ticket, not a promise.
Totals leanover7.5PIT @ CLEmodel 8.9
The card freezes each morning before games start and never changes — grading lands here and on The Record. Research starting point, not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly.