The Model Card
Sunday, July 12, 2026
3-2on the cardEvery pick below was frozen before first pitch and graded in public.
MLB
AZ@
LAD
Pick AZ · model 47% · market +195
HIT
MLB
KC@
BAL
Pick KC · model 49% · market +131
MISS
MLB
HOU@
TEX
Pick HOU · model 50% · market +118
MISS
MLB
PHI@
DET
Pick PHI · model 51% · market +114
HIT
MLB
NYY@
WSH
Pick NYY · model 53% · market +102
HIT
The model parlay
MISSAZ + KC + HOU
+1386
combined odds
11.6%
model probability
+72.8%
EV per $1
EV assumes the model probabilities are right and legs are independent — it's the model's honest opinion of this ticket, not a promise.
Totals leanover8ATL @ STLmodel 9.6
The card freezes each morning before games start and never changes — grading lands here and on The Record. Research starting point, not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly.