The Model Card
Saturday, July 11, 2026
3-2on the cardEvery pick below was frozen before first pitch and graded in public.
MLB
BOS@
NYM
Pick BOS · model 52% · market +138
HIT
MLB
AZ@
LAD
Pick AZ · model 40% · market +239
HIT
MLB
NYY@
WSH
Pick WSH · model 44% · market +170
MISS
MLB
CLE@
MIA
Pick CLE · model 49% · market +135
HIT
MLB
MIL@
PIT
Pick MIL · model 55% · market +104
MISS
The model parlay
MISSBOS + AZ + WSH
+2078
combined odds
9.1%
model probability
+97.7%
EV per $1
EV assumes the model probabilities are right and legs are independent — it's the model's honest opinion of this ticket, not a promise.
Totals leanover7PHI @ DETmodel 8.9
The card freezes each morning before games start and never changes — grading lands here and on The Record. Research starting point, not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly.